world cryptocurrency market Overview

Bonds are almost in a bearish state. Many brokers expect the Bank of China to cut interest rates next year, and the yield of 10-year government bonds may be around 1.8%. According to the Shanghai Stock Exchange, from the perspective of many institutions in 2025, the central bank's interest rate cuts will continue. Many institutions believe that in this context, the yield of 10-year government bonds will also fall to around 1.8%. Tan Yiming, a fixed-income analyst at Minsheng Securities, believes that this year's monetary policy framework reform has been promoted, and the 7-day reverse repo rate, as the main policy interest rate, has become the starting point of the interest rate transmission mechanism. It is expected that there will be one or two interest rate cuts in 2025, and the 7-day reverse repo rate will be lowered by about 20 to 40 basis points, and the 10-year government bond yield will be 1.7% to 1.8%.Russia said that it attacked the Ukrainian military airport and repulsed Russia's repeated attacks. The Russian Ministry of National Defense reported on the 9 th local time that the Russian army launched a strike against the Ukrainian military airport infrastructure, railway facilities for transporting military equipment, and drone assembly plants in the past day. Russian air defense forces shot down several rockets and dozens of drones of the Ukrainian army. In addition, the Russian army continued to crack down on Ukrainian personnel and equipment in Kursk region, Russia. On the same day, the General Staff of the Ukrainian Armed Forces issued a war report, saying that as of the afternoon of the 9th, the Ukrainian army had fought with the Russian army for more than 100 times in the directions of Kharkov, Pokrovsk and Kurahovo. The Ukrainian army continued to hold its ground and repelled many Russian attacks.Societe Generale: The S&P 500 index is expected to fluctuate between 6,500 and 7,500 points next year. Strategists at Societe Generale said that the re-inflation policy proposed by President-elect Trump when he takes office next year may push the S&P 500 index to 6,500 points in April and 7,500 points in 2025, and bond yields are expected to fluctuate greatly.

In the first 11 months of the 10 billion yuan private placement, over 90% of the products achieved floating profit, and the "transcripts" of the 10 billion yuan private placement institutions in the first 11 months of this year were released, and over 90% of the private placement securities products achieved floating profit. According to the latest statistics released by the private placement network, in the first 11 months of this year, the average yield of 285 products with performance display under the tens of billions of private placement institutions was 17.15%. Among them, 259 products realized floating profit, accounting for 90.88%. Of the above 259 products, 94 have a yield of less than 10%; 80 yield between 10% and 19%; 35 yield between 20% and 29%; 14 yield between 30% and 50%; The yield of 36 products is not less than 50%, and the yield of the best-performing products is as high as 72.99%. (Securities Daily)The offshore RMB (CNH) was quoted at 7.2675 yuan against the US dollar at 05:59 Beijing time, up 168 points from last Friday's late session in new york, and the whole trading in the day was in the range of 7.2927-7.2572 yuan.In less than 24 hours, more than 200 earthquakes occurred in El Salvador. On the morning of December 9, local time, the Ministry of Environment and Natural Resources of El Salvador reported that there were 224 earthquakes in the country in the past less than 24 hours. The report shows that the eastern part of El Salvador is the region with the most frequent earthquakes. Frequent earthquakes in this area have caused houses to collapse, landslides and falling rocks. On the evening of the 8th local time, the magnitude of the earthquake near Conchado reached 5.6, followed by several earthquakes of magnitude 2.5-5. In addition, the geological faults in Raonyon province have been active recently, and earthquakes of magnitude 5.8 or above may occur.

5 billion square meters of diaphragm has been settled, leading enterprises have accelerated the layout of overseas markets, and the end of the year is approaching, and the lithium battery industry has entered a new round of supply negotiations. The two major battery separator companies, Xingyuan Materials and Enjie, have successively issued announcements recently, and signed large battery separator supply orders with Yiwei Lithium Energy respectively, totaling no less than 5 billion square meters. As one of the upstream materials of lithium battery, in recent years, with the intensive price reduction of the upstream and downstream industrial chains of lithium battery, the diaphragm industry is in a situation of increasing supply and demand, and the pattern of oversupply is difficult to change. Xingyuan Materials has released a new generation of high-safety lithium battery separators, the price of which will be higher than that of conventional coated separators, and Enjie and Xingyuan Materials have also laid out overseas markets with higher gross profit. The industry believes that apart from making profits from technology, it is a general trend for diaphragm enterprises to set up factories close to overseas manufacturers. (Securities Times)The phenomenal world tour of "Mould Mould" ended, earning over 2 billion dollars in two years. After nearly two years and about 150 performances, the phenomenal world tour of American singer "Mould Mould" Taylor Swift finally ended on December 8. This grand tour extended from the United States to South America, Asia and Europe, and became a global phenomenal event, which was a great commercial success: by the end of 2023, the Swift-era concert tour had become the first tour in the world with a total income of more than 1 billion US dollars. According to the statistics of Pollstar, the industry publication of the concert, the total tour revenue will exceed $2 billion after the series of tours are completed on December 8. (Global Times)Zhang Jun, chief economist of Galaxy Securities, believes that it is expected that the Bank of China will cut interest rates and RRR more vigorously next year, and the policy interest rate may be lowered by 40-60 basis points for the whole year, leading the five-year LPR to decline by 60-100 basis points, and the RRR may be lowered by 150-250 basis points for the whole year.